US intelligence warns foreign actors could incite post-election violence

US intelligence officials have raised concerns that foreign actors , including Russia, China, and Iran, may seek to incite violence following the upcoming November 5 elections. Officials suggested that these nations are using divisive narratives to undermine the US democratic process and could potentially escalate physical threats in the post-election period.

During a briefing on Tuesday, intelligence officials from the office of the director of national intelligence (ODNI) stated that foreign actors are highly likely to continue disinformation campaigns, and in some cases, may consider using physical threats and violence to increase division in the US. "Foreign actors, particularly Russia, Iran, and China, remain intent on fanning divisive narratives to divide Americans," said one ODNI official, highlighting that such activities align with their perceived interests.

The ODNI official noted that these actors have adapted their tactics from previous US elections and are better equipped to exploit opportunities to disrupt the election process. The use of social media, cyber operations, and even artificial intelligence to spread disinformation was emphasised. An example provided involved Russian influence actors creating false social media posts targeting Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate, in an effort to undermine the Democratic ticket.

While US intelligence has not observed any collaboration between Russia, China, and Iran, officials stressed that each country remains a significant threat. These actors are likely to spread misinformation, particularly around contested election results, to sow confusion and distrust.

Intelligence officials also expressed concerns about potential violence after the election. According to a declassified memorandum from the National Intelligence Council (NIC), foreign operatives are expected to amplify false claims about election irregularities and may attempt cyberattacks on government websites to spread confusion. In particular, Russia and Iran have the capacity to encourage violent protests, either by covertly organising events or by supporting domestic groups already planning demonstrations. The memo warned that the risk of such interference is greater this year due to increased knowledge of the US election certification process.

The report cited examples of past efforts to stoke unrest, including a Russian military intelligence attempt in January to recruit an American to organise protests. Similarly, Iran was accused of covertly supporting protests in the US earlier this year against American support for Israel during the war in Gaza.

Election workers have already taken precautions against potential post-election violence , with some communities installing bulletproof glass and panic buttons. Civil rights groups, such as the Leadership Conference for Civil and Human Rights, have launched initiatives to combat disinformation and strengthen voter confidence. Maya Wiley, the group's president, stated, "Voters must know that they will decide the outcome of the election — not foreign actors, extremist groups, or purveyors of disinformation."