IPL playoffs scenarios: With 12 matches to go, Gujarat Titans have 99.2 % chance of progressing — odds for each team explained

NEW DELHI: With 12 games remaining in the league stage, CSK, RR, SRH and KKR are already out of contention for the playoffs.


GT, RCB and PBKS are almost sure to make the knock-out stage, but MI and DC still have an even chance while LSG have slim chances.

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There remain 4,096 possible combinations of results, so nothing is for sure yet for any of the six remaining in the race.


We look at the probabilities:



How we arrive at the probabilities:

There are 4,096 possible combinations of results remaining with 12 games to go.

For each team, we looked at how many of these end up with them being among the top four either singly or tied.

We also looked at how many combinations put each team in the top two either singly or jointly.

For instance, GT finish in the top two in 2,800 of the possible combinations of match outcomes, translating to a 68.4% chance of being first or second, singly or jointly.