Manchester United have taken a financial hit by missing out on Champions League qualification next season; there's no doubt about that. But the boost of returning to Europe's premier competition would have been slightly offset by a performance-related clause in United's first-team contracts.
A club of the Red Devils' stature has to compete in the Champions League every season, so no European football entirely is disastrous. The prospect of an absence in back-to-back seasons was the stuff of fantasy during Sir Alex Ferguson's reign of dominance. But the Europa League final defeat to Tottenham Hotspur has condemned United to the unthinkable at a time when they need all the financial help they can get.
Ruben Amorim's nightmare first season in change has emphasised the need for strong backing in the summer transfer window.
Yet, Sir Jim Ratcliffe's ruthless cost cuts, including up to 200 redundancies hours after the 1-0 loss in Bilbao, paint a damning picture.
By failing to qualify for the Champions League through the back door, United have missed out on TV money, matchday revenue and sponsorship bonuses.
However, as the club pushes to fix its wage structure as part of a mammoth squad rebuild under the INEOS banner, it's not all doom and gloom.
At the end of the 2023/24 season, United's players and Erik ten Hag were hit with a 25 per cent salary cut due to their lack of Champions League involvement.
Had United beaten Spurs and sealed a return, CPA and personal finance expert Andrew Gosselin has revealed the wage bill would have increased by £43.1million.
"The payroll for the current season is about £172.4 million," Gosselin told Express Sport.
"A one-quarter lift on that figure would have added about £43.1 million in extra pay next year, but that money now stays with the club.
"Keeping £43.1m unspent is the first clear benefit. Salaries are the largest controllable cost in football, so avoiding an automatic rise protects cash flow at a moment when broadcast and matchday income also fall.
"The saving acts like an internal insurance policy, covering short term revenue gaps without forcing a rush to cut elsewhere. That unspent cash can improve squad planning.
"With no sudden wage spike, decision-makers can pursue a transfer they genuinely want rather than a cheaper fallback.
"It also lets them negotiate from a position of strength because agents know the club is not under pressure to trim payroll.
"The saving helps with debt service as well. Interest payments are a fixed obligation, and missing them would damage the club's credit profile.
"Redirecting a portion of the £43.1m toward scheduled repayments keeps lenders confident and can even lead to better terms in the future.
"There is a longer-term upside too. Once a wage bill climbs, it is difficult to reverse without disruptive sales, so holding it steady for a year keeps future budgets flexible.
"If the team returns to Europe and the clause activates later, the club will re-enter the higher pay bracket from a healthier financial base.
"In simple terms, skipping the Champions League hurts income, but at least it prevents a costly rise in salaries.
"The £40m-plus that remain in the bank ease immediate revenue pressure, support smart investment, and preserve room to manoeuvre when sporting fortunes improve."
United now have an opportunity to refresh their wage structure by offloading high-earning players like Casemiro, Jadon Sancho and Marcus Rashford.
With significantly fewer games in store next season, many players sold this summer won't have to be immediately replaced.
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